Stock Trends Traders Network

November 2009 Blog Posts (7)

Scaling or legging out of a winning trade - the empirical evidence using the NEW "Equity Curve" worksheet in the m3 modeler

There is a great debate in the trading community as to whether one should close out an entire profitable position at a single pre-determined profit objective or, whether to close out part of your position at the same pre-determined point objective booking a portion of the profits, then move your stop loss to break even thereby leaving you in the trade in the event that the move becomes a large or runaway winner. If you stop and think about the dynamics of these 2 options, the only way a trader… Continue

Added by Brian on November 24, 2009 at 1:40pm — No Comments

$SPY - Probable forecast and and how to capitalize with double digit returns over the next 12 weeks with options

http://www.screencast.com/t/NzYxZGFmZjEt (Click to enlarge)

Using the F-Shift Forecaster, I wanted to get an idea - a PROBABLE idea as to where we are headed in the overall market. I downloaded WEEKLY historical data courtesy of Yahoo Finance and populated the forecaster to produce an unbiased probable outcome 12 weeks from today. Its easy to say "higher" given the current rally we are in but… Continue

Added by Brian on November 18, 2009 at 2:37pm — No Comments

Using margin - a double edged sword

Having the ability to trade on margin is a powerful leveraging mechanism if it used correctly - but one MUST also be aware of the potential dangers. The greater the margin that is afforded you through your brokerage, the greater the potential damage one can unknowingly do their capital. Lets take a look using the m3 - Money Management Modeler. The reason I chose this topic to blog about was due to a client of mine who had requested that I expand the margin levels from the standard 2x that I had… Continue

Added by Brian on November 16, 2009 at 9:27am — No Comments

Using margin - a double edged sword

Having the ability to trade on margin is a powerful leveraging mechanism if it used correctly - but one MUST also be aware of the potential dangers. The greater the margin that is afforded you through your brokerage, the greater the potential damage one can unknowingly do their capital. Lets take a look using the m3 - Money Management Modeler. The reason I chose this topic to blog about was due to a client of mine who had requested that I expand the margin levels from the standard 2x that I had… Continue

Added by Brian on November 16, 2009 at 9:27am — No Comments

New features on m3 - Money Management Modeler - NEW Margins,Price Levels and LONG/SHORT fields

Still at it !



Fulcrum Shift Trading is constantly improving and adding value to the m3 - Money Management Modeler. These latest upgrades and enhancements were suggestions from current users of the m3. Here are the following upgrades now available;



1) User Defined Margin LevelsI received a request to include various margin levels yesterday. Some traders can leverage their accounts with very high multiples which ultimately can affect the calculations within the… Continue

Added by Brian on November 4, 2009 at 11:36am — No Comments

the "ALL IN" Gunslinger - part 2 - maxing out your trading account WITH risk management and position sizing

In part one of this series we the addressed short comings of moving your account "ALL IN" on a single trade. We acknowledged that yes - it can be done but at your own peril. If risk management and discipline are our ultimate objectives when trading (and it should be for every trader) then 99% of the time you will find yourself having to set stops so tightly in order to adhere to that ultimate objective (risk management) only to have the market "whipsaw" you in and out of trades. The stops by… Continue

Added by Brian on November 3, 2009 at 1:06pm — No Comments

New features on the m3- Money Management Modeler - modeling returns on at risk AND overall trading capital on a leg by leg basis



11.02.2009-08.27.05 m3 - Upgrades (Click to enlarge)



As good as the m3 - Money Management Modeler is, I have added a couple of new features to the "variables3le" worksheet enhancing individuality of the application.



1) First you can now determine whether you wish to calculate your returns using CASH on deposit only or on MARGIN when modeling stock trades.



2)… Continue

Added by Brian on November 2, 2009 at 9:07am — No Comments

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