Why S&P 500 Can Rally Back to the 2007 HighAs the S&P 500 hovers at its February 2011 high and the Dow toys with its May 2011 peak, many market participants are looking for an important top soon. While I am certainly aware of some good arguments for a new bear plunge--in fact I've been favoring a major top in the first or second quarter of 2012 myself--I think it's worthwhile to examine the body of technical evidence that indicates that…See More

Source Link:http://www.thebullbear.com/profiles/blogs/will-the-euro-collapseWill the Euro Collapse?Trading a true currency collapse is a rare opportunity. Mostmarket participants are familiar with the story of George Sorosand his ride to prominence on the back of the collapse of theBritish Pound. Is it possible that a similar opportunity maypresent itself soon in the form of a collapse of the Euro? Theanalysis…See More

My pick for the month of October is TLH on NYSE, or XLB on TSX. Disclaimer: The information above is exactly that - information that my statistical model suggest that there is little bit less of 70% probablity (see historical data on previous posts) that this trade will be profitable.  I'm not suggesting in any way that you should do what I'm doing.  If you do it, this is your sole responsibility!  All losses that can (and will!) occur using this model is your sole responsibility!  Trading is…See More

There are following rules that I follow:1.  At time of decision compare criteria for chosen stocks and choose one best2.  Criteria is: longer moving average results, shorter moving average and volatility3.  If the chosen stock is the best, but is below 50 day moving average, all goes to cash (or SHY if you prefer).4.  If a chosen stock during the month closes below 50 day moving average for two consecutive days, convert all to cash (or SHY if you prefer)For obvious (copyright/trade secrets)…See More

When to trade?Last day of a month is ideal for this trading systems (and for some others too!) at around half an hour before the close.  Why?  First trading day in a month is statistically the best day for trading (if you pick the right stock)!  On the first in any month fund managers are reviewing their positions and entering new positions - more often than not for window dressing.  Say that you want to trade only one day per month - first of a month - buy at open and sell at close.  You know…See More

My Stock PicksBuy DateSell DateStockReturnCumulative return12/31/2008 0:001/30/2009 0:00LQD-2%98%1/30/2009 0:002/27/2009 0:00SHY0%98%2/27/2009 0:003/31/2009 0:00SHY0%99%3/31/2009 0:004/30/2009 0:00MWJ46%144%4/30/2009 0:005/29/2009 0:00MWJ11%160%5/29/2009 0:006/30/2009 0:00MWJ-1%157%6/30/2009 0:007/31/2009 0:00TLH1%158%7/31/2009 0:008/31/2009 0:00MWJ13%180%8/31/2009 0:009/30/2009 0:00MWJ17%210%9/30/2009 0:0010/30/2009 0:00TLH-1%208%10/30/2009 0:0011/30/2009 0:00SHY1%210%11/30/2009 0:0012/31/2009…See More